ICP breaks out of ‘falling wedge’
ICP’s daily chart shows a falling wedge pattern — a setup consisting of two descending, converging trendlines connecting lower highs and lower lows. The intersecting nature of the two lines indicates a weakening bearish momentum. As such, traditional analysts anticipate a breakout out of a wedge to be bullish.
For ICP/USD, the wedge hurdle was near $17.75, as shown in the chart below. It broke above it on March 22, and kept on rising in the next daily session, accompanied by an increase in trading volumes. On the whole, it shows a convincing falling wedge breakout in action.
In a “perfect” scenario, breaking out of a falling wedge pattern — to the upside — can see a subseqeunt price rally by as much as the maximum distance between the wedge’s upper and lower trendline. That may put ICP en route to over $27 — by almost 50% — sometime by April.
Nonetheless, there is also a possibility that ICP’s breakout mode exhausts midway near $20, a level that coincides with the resistance trendline of its multi-month descending channel. Still, it would leave the Internet Computer token with a potential 20% upside set up before the next pullback occurs.
Bearish risks remain for ICP price
Falling wedges are poor performers when it comes to predicting bullish chart patterns, according to Tom Bulkowski, a veteran stock market investor, who noted that they work well when predicting a “downward breakout in a bear market.”
ICP has been in a bear market since its launch in May 2021 across the crypto exchanges, with its price plunging more than 90% from its debut rate of around $240, according to data from Binance. The token dropped amid allegations that its founding company, DFINITY, dumped billions of dollars worth of Internet Computer tokens while simultaneously barring its early investors from exiting their positions.
Additionally, a correction across the Bitcoin (BTC) and the rest of the cryptocurrency markets also weighed down ICP’s bullish prospects.
Notably, the correlation between Bitcoin and Internet Computer has been mostly positive since the ICP’s trading debut on exchanges. In other words, ICP typically sees downside moves when BTC experiences a correction.
Despite logging a falling wedge breakout, ICP still eyes further bullish confirmation as it trades below its 50-day exponential moving average (50-day EMA; the red wave) near $19, a strong resistance level since September 2021.
Related: Internet Computer founder‘s $250M plan to help end the war in Ukraine
Failure to mark a break above the 50-day EMA could have ICP retest its record low near $14, down over 20% from March 23’s price.
The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.