In a boon for BTC, on-chain analyst On-Chain College shared insightful data regarding retail adoption and the potential beginnings of broader adoption trends. The key takeaway to round off the year is that up to 1 million new entrants joined the Bitcoin network in November.
Despite bearish price action in the short term, the Twitter flood shows that the macro outlook for BTC remains sound. According to the chart, from June 2020 to December 2021, the number of wallet addresses with a balance greater than zero has trended up from 30 million wallets to a touching distance of 40 million.
Glassnode describes the non-zero balance metric as the number of unique addresses holding a positive (non-zero) amount of coins. When the number trends up, new users enter the Bitcoin network.
When it trends down, as visualized in the orange line on the graph from May to July this year, it shows users emptying their wallets to zero. By inference, wallet addresses’ fall is a downward price action indicator.
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In light of November’s new entrants, it begs two questions: Was this just an outlier fueled by excitement after recently hitting an all-time high? Was it the start of a broader trend?
It’s heartening to think that with thanksgiving, festive celebrations and Omicron fears in November and December, potential investors have more opportunities to research Bitcoin and potentially invest.
Reporting in December backs up the claim, as the balance changes for wallets holding 1 BTC or less — typically suggesting smallscale investors — reached their highest since March 2020.
However, there is a note of caution regarding the future of retail. William Clemente, oft-cited in Cointelegraph and a BTC analyst, tweeted a series of graphs with the message “retail interest in Bitcoin is pretty much gone since the Spring.”
More evidence of retail is required. While it was widely reported in October that institutions are buying Bitcoin rather than gold, Google Trends search data for “Bitcoin” is a quarter of what it was during the December 2017 peak. Evidently, retail mania is some ways off.