In a series of tweets on Oct. 4, popular Twitter commentator TechDev highlighted familiar bullish behavior in Bitcoin’s relative strength index (RSI).
2021 Bitcoin RSI simply follows the pattern
While still lingering below targets, such as those of the Stock-to-Flow model, BTC/USD is not short on bullish price predictions for this year and beyond.
The relative strength index (RSI), a classic indicator used for identifying overbought and oversold markets at a particular price, is joining them, suggesting that the second phase of the 2021 bull run is just getting started.
Just as Bitcoin price action has gone in four-year cycles, so too has the RSI exhibited patterns of behavior through the years.
“Each cycle has had 2 peaks. 2021 now moving toward its second,” TechDev explained.
In each four-year cycle, the RSI hits a peak at a level slightly lower than the last — this likewise helps to identify a cycle top slightly in advance. Where BTC/USD will be at the time, however, is a much less exact science.
“Interesting to note the eight-year down-trending resistance,” TechDev added.
Further figures suggest that the BTC price top this time around could be $200,000 or more.
“200–300K #Bitcoin looks almost too programmed,” TechDev added alongside a different chart showing Fibonacci levels.
These likewise hinge on the four-year halving cycle, with each peak an order of magnitude higher than the last. For 2021, this means that the $20,000 peak from 2017 should become anything from $200,000 to $300,000.
This neatly coincides with the Stock-to-Flow Cross-Asset model, which calls for an average price of $288,000 during the current halving cycle ending in 2024.
Stock-to-Flow creator PlanB has nonetheless said that local highs during that time could easily be double that average, placing Bitcoin at over half a million dollars.